Category: Prediction Market

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Conviction Fails to Deter Donald Trump’s 2024 Election Odds, According to Polymarket Bets

Following the landmark news of former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 counts related to a hush-money scheme allegedly influencing the 2016 election, data from the Polygon-powered prediction market Polymarket shows Trump still leading in forecast bets for the 2024 election. Convicted But Leading: Trump Tops 2024 Election Predictions on Polymarket According to Polymarket, Donald…
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CFTC Fines ‘Decentralized’ Prediction Market Platform Polymarket $1.4 Million, Shuts Down Noncompliant Markets

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has ordered a “decentralized” prediction market platform to shut down non-compliant markets and pay a fine of $1.4 million. “Polymarket had been operating an illegal unregistered or non-designated facility for event-based binary options online trading contracts, known as ‘event markets,’” said the derivatives regulator. CFTC Takes First Crypto…
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Battle of the Gigabrains: Vitalik Buterin to match wits with chess master

Prediction market activity shows that few bettors think Vitalik Buterin has a chance against the Canadian master At 9 pm EST tonight, Ethereum co-founder and figurehead Vitalik Buterin will face off against chess streamer National Canadian Team player Alexandra Botez in an match event live-streamed on Twitch.  The event came about following a series of…
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Morpher Labs attempts to crack knotty prediction market problems

The new prediction marketplace solves longstanding liquidity issue, but does it create new problems? On August 31, 2020, Morpher Labs announced the launch of its flagship Ethereum-based contract trading and prediction market platform, Morpher, with the stated goal of providing users unlimited access to long-and-short trades of real-world stocks, commodities, and FOREX markets.  The technical…
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