Bitcoin sheds ‘dumb money’ as retail buys most BTC since March 2020 crash

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Bitcoin sheds ‘dumb money’ as retail buys most BTC since March 2020 crash

Small-volume buyers are as interested in $48,000 Bitcoin as they were in $3,600 Bitcoin, data appears to show.

Bitcoin (BTC) is back in fashion for regular investors at $48,000 as data confirms the biggest buying spree since March 2020.

In a tweet on Dec. 14, statistician Willy Woo eyed a key trend that had previously been absent from the Bitcoin market for over 18 months.

Retail adds BTC like it’s March 2020

After crashing to $3,600 in March 2020, BTC/USD was a hot pick for those able and willing to invest — and now, that phenomenon is back.

The changes in balances for wallets holding 1 BTC or less — typically suggesting smallscale investors — have reached their highest since March 2020.

While the circumstances remain the same — coronavirus fears and macro market jitters over central bank policy — the major difference at the end of 2021 is that Bitcoin costs $48,000, not $3,600.

Nonetheless, if the retail accumulation data is accurate, interest is surging.

“The last time retail bought the dip this hard was at the bottom of the COVID crash,” Woo commented.

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As Cointelegraph reported this week, larger existing hodlers continue to exhibit mixed behavior at current price levels. Despite selling by some, the top tier — whales — are more cautious about divesting away from BTC.

“Smart” vs. “dumb” money hits all-time high

Meanwhile, the proportion of long-term investors has reached a record high versus short-term market participants.

Related: Bitcoin price dip may end Wednesday as Bitfinex bids hint at Fed ‘buy the news’ plans

According to the so-called “Smart Money Gap” indicator, consisting of data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, there has never been a greater disparity between the amount of BTC held by “smart” and “dumb” money — long-term and short-term buyers.

Throughout Bitcoin’s history, local peaks in the metric have heralded the start of price bull runs, signifying local price bottoms.

Bitcoin Smart Money Gap annotated chart. Source: Twitter

The numbers support the narrative that Bitcoin’s near 40% come-down from $69,000 all-time highs “flushed out” speculative market bets.

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