Category: Benchmark Rate

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Morgan Stanley’s Chief Economist Predicts Rate Cuts ‘This Year’ as Market Eyes Federal Reserve’s Next Move

This year, mirroring last year’s speculation, market observers are keenly awaiting decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve concerning the federal funds rate, with a particular focus on potential rate cuts this year. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley’s lead economist in the U.S., predicts rate reductions in the coming months. However, she cautions that the central bank…
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2 Rate Hikes or Hold? Fed Predictions Vary From No Rate Hikes to 6% in 2023

Based on projections from the U.S. Federal Reserve, it is anticipated that the central bank will implement two additional increases to the federal funds rate within the span of 2023. As indicated by Fed policymakers, they estimate the benchmark bank rate to fall within the range of 5.5% to 5.75% by the end of this…
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South African Rand Plunges to New Low After Benchmark Interest Rate Is Raised to 14-Year High

The South African fiat currency’s exchange rate versus the U.S. dollar plunged to a new all-time low of 19.7640 per dollar on May 25 just moments after the South African Reserve Bank raised the benchmark interest rate to its highest since 2009. Although the currency has since made some recovery, prediction models show that the…
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Blackrock CEO Expects Inflation to Persist, but No Major US Recession in 2023

Blackrock’s CEO, Larry Fink, stated in an interview on Friday that he does not anticipate a “big recession” in the United States. However, he believes that “inflation is going to be stickier for longer.” In contrast to the U.S. central bank’s 2% goal, Fink predicts that “we’re going to have a 4ish floor in inflation.”…
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US Consumer Price Index Rises 0.1% in March, Annual Inflation up 5% From Last Year

On Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics published the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which noted that inflation rose 0.1% last month in March and 5% from a year ago. Annual inflation has dropped for nine consecutive months following the nine times the U.S. Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate. U.S. Inflation Cools…
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Economists Expect the Fed to Reveal Another 25bps Rate Hike Before Pausing for the Rest of 2023

After the March rate hike by the Federal Reserve, economists believe that the recent move by Saudi Arabia and several members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to cut oil production could complicate the central bank’s mission. Additionally, the majority of the market is pricing in another 0.25% increase for the May…
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White House Says Biden Has ‘Confidence’ in Fed Chair Powell While Fedwatch Tool Predicts a 25bps Hike This Week

With the Federal Open Market Committee convening on Wednesday and the recent financial troubles facing the U.S. banking system, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said President Joe Biden has “confidence” in Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Meanwhile, according to the CME Group’s Fedwatch tool, the target rate probability suggests the Fed will raise the…
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Elon Musk Criticizes Federal Reserve’s Data Latency and Calls for Immediate Rate Drop Amidst Banking Chaos

Amidst the chaos in the U.S. banking sector, Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla and owner of Twitter, has been critical of the country’s central bank. Musk insists that the U.S. Federal Reserve is operating with “way too much latency in their data,” and he insists that the central bank needs to drop the federal…
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‘Next Round of Bailouts Is Here’ — Bitcoin and Precious Metals Soar Amid Speculation of Fed Policy Change

At around 7:30 a.m. ET, the price of bitcoin skyrocketed past the $27,000 range to a high of $27,025 per unit. Precious metals, or PMs, like gold and silver, also rose between 1.98% and 2.12% against the U.S. dollar over the past day. While many market observers are wondering why specific assets like PMs and…
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Latest CPI Data Shows Red-Hot Inflation Continues to Thrive in the US, Consumer Prices Jumped 8.2% in September

The latest inflation data from the United States indicates that consumer prices have kept climbing despite expectations of a slowdown. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) summary published on Thursday shows an 8.2% rise in the year through September, and the core index rating saw the fastest yearly increase since 1982. September’s CPI Data Was Worse…
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