Category: FOMC

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CME Fedwatch Favors Half-Point Cut Ahead of FOMC Meeting

In just 40 days, the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will gather to decide whether the central bank will lower the benchmark interest rate. This pivotal moment occurs two days after the 2024 U.S. Election Day. As it stands, CME futures data suggests that a half-point reduction is currently viewed as more probable than…
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A Record $21.77 Billion In Bitcoin Shorts Will Be Liquidated Once BTC Breaks $70,500

Bitcoin is trending higher at spot rates, floating above $60,000 and confirming gains of September 13. From price action in the daily chart, buyers appear to be back in the picture. The confidence follows the United States Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision to slash rates by 50 basis points on September 18. Over $21 Billion Of…
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Fed Slashes Benchmark Interest Rate by 50bps in First Cut Since 2020

On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate for the first time since March 2020. The Sept. 18, 2024 rate cut amounted to 50 basis points (bps), a notably bigger adjustment than many analysts anticipated. According to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press release, the central bank remains focused on reaching…
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Markets Await Fed Decision: Bitcoin Spikes, Gold Drops, Stocks Wobble

Bitcoin saw its value leap to $61,331 on Tuesday, just a day before members of the U.S. Federal Reserve convene to discuss a potential rate cut for federal funds. While BTC posted a 5% gain, stock markets exhibited mixed signals, hovering near previous highs, and gold dipped more than half a percent that day. Bitcoin…
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CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver?

As the U.S. central bank members prepare for their meeting on Wednesday, just a day ago, the likelihood of a 25-basis point (bps) rate cut versus a 50bps cut was evenly split at 50-50. Fast forward to today, and the odds are now tipping in favor of a larger 50bps reduction. Predictions from betting market…
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Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability

With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch tool. Market…
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Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction

On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently at 5.25%-5.50%, which…
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The Fed Under Fire: Elizabeth Warren Pushes for Unprecedented Rate Cut

As the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) gears up for its meeting on Sept. 18, anticipation is building for a rate cut. Market participants are placing their bets, with expectations leaning toward either a 25 basis points (bps) reduction or a 50bps cut. However, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is urging the Fed…
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Bitcoin Bulls Charge Toward $62K as Fed’s Minutes Triggers Market Frenzy

Bitcoin’s price hit $61,838 per coin by 3:45 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, after spending much of the day lingering below the $60,000 mark. The crypto market mirrored the upward movement seen in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which both rallied just before the closing bell. This newfound optimism is largely being credited to the Federal…
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No Rate Cuts Yet: Fed Maintains Rates at Historic Highs 

The U.S. Federal Reserve has opted to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 5.25-5.5%, according to the latest report from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The committee noted that while inflation has eased over the past year, it remains somewhat elevated, with the overarching goal being to bring inflation down to the…
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