Tag: FOMC Meeting

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Fedwatch Tool and Polymarket Indicate Strong Odds for September Rate Cut

Right now, the market is leaning towards the U.S. Federal Reserve lowering the benchmark interest rate at the Sept. 18, 2024, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The CME Fedwatch tool currently indicates a 75% likelihood of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut. Over on Polymarket, bettors are even more confident, showing an 82% chance of…
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Fedwatch Tool and Polymarket Point to Highly Probable Rate Cuts by the Fed

Following the recent volatility in global equity markets, some analysts suggest that the U.S. Federal Reserve might implement an emergency rate cut before September. In addition, market predictions are leaning toward a rate cut at the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The key question is the extent of this cut. According to CME’s…
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Crypto Fear and Greed Index Shows ‘Greed’ Despite Bitcoin’s Price Drop

While bitcoin briefly reached the $70,000 mark on July 29, the price has since declined. Over the past week, BTC has decreased by 0.6%. During the last 18 days, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index (CFGI) has transitioned from “extreme fear” back to “greed.” From ‘Extreme Fear’ to ‘Greed’ in 18 Days Approximately 18 days…
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Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady Amid Inflation Concerns; Outlook Remains ‘Uncertain’

On Wednesday, May 1, 2024, the U.S. Federal Reserve chose to maintain the benchmark interest rates at their highest in 23 years. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members noted that although inflation has subsided, it still “remains elevated.” No Change in Federal Funds Rate; Fed Continues Watchful Eye on Inflation Risks On Wednesday, the…
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Goldman Sachs Expects Fed to Start Cutting Interest Rates in Q2 Next Year

Goldman Sachs has predicted that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates in the second quarter of next year. The global investment bank’s economists also expect the Fed officials to forego hiking rates at their upcoming meeting. “We are penciling in 25 basis points of cuts per quarter but are uncertain about the pace,”…
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End of Fed’s Tightening Cycle: Bernanke, Majority of Polled Economists See Terminal Rate Hike Ahead

With just a four-day window to go, the U.S. Federal Reserve appears primed to raise the federal funds rate by 25-basis-points (bps) at the forthcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for Wednesday. The market presently maintains the conviction that this quarter-point uptick is inevitable, and a group of 106 economists, according to a…
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Anticipation Builds as US Central Bank Eyes Two More Rate Hikes, Targeting 5.6% by Year-End

After the U.S. central bank refrained from boosting interest rates last week, investors now anticipate two more hikes that may elevate the federal funds rate to 5.6% by the year’s end, climbing 50 basis points (bps) from its present level. CME’s Fedwatch tool indicated on Tuesday that market predictions imply a 25bps increase during the…
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Fed Pauses Interest Rates After 10 Consecutive Hikes; Committee Likely to Raise Rates ‘Somewhat Further’ This Year

In accordance with market predictions, the U.S. Federal Reserve decided to halt its rate hike this month after ten consecutive hikes since last year. The members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) asserted that the U.S. banking system is still “sound and resilient,” and the committee continues to closely monitor inflation risks. Federal Reserve…
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US Inflation Cools to 4% Annual Rate, Setting Stage for Fed’s Decision on Interest Rates

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ consumer price index (CPI) report, released on Tuesday, reveals that inflation in the United States has eased to a yearly rate of 4%. The latest development arrives just ahead of the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for June 14. The prevailing market sentiment leans towards the…
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Economist Larry Summers Urges Fed to Consider Half-Point Rate Increase in July

Larry Summers, the American economist and former U.S. Treasury Secretary, believes that should the U.S. Federal Reserve refrain from increasing the benchmark interest rate this month, a half-point rate hike may be necessary for July. As per the CME Fedwatch tool, there is a 74% likelihood that the Fed will not raise the rate at…
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