In just 40 days, the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will gather to decide whether the central bank will lower the benchmark interest rate. This pivotal moment occurs two days after the 2024 U.S. Election Day. As it stands, CME futures data suggests that a half-point reduction is currently viewed as more probable than…
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Digital asset investment products recorded inflows of $321 million in the second consecutive week of positive activity, according to a report by Coinshares. The surge in inflows is largely attributed to the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps). Coinshares: U.S. Leads Digital Asset Inflows According to…
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JPMorgan Chase sees the possibility of the Federal Reserve making another significant rate cut in November, possibly by 50 basis points. The bank, which predicted this week’s half-point cut, believes further reductions are likely if the job market weakens. While some other Wall Street firms have adjusted their outlooks, JPMorgan remains confident in its forecast,…
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Bitcoin saw its value leap to $61,331 on Tuesday, just a day before members of the U.S. Federal Reserve convene to discuss a potential rate cut for federal funds. While BTC posted a 5% gain, stock markets exhibited mixed signals, hovering near previous highs, and gold dipped more than half a percent that day. Bitcoin…
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As the U.S. central bank members prepare for their meeting on Wednesday, just a day ago, the likelihood of a 25-basis point (bps) rate cut versus a 50bps cut was evenly split at 50-50. Fast forward to today, and the odds are now tipping in favor of a larger 50bps reduction. Predictions from betting market…
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With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch tool. Market…
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The latest consumer price index (CPI) from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that inflation cooled to 2.5% in August, marking the slowest rate since 2021. Meanwhile, core CPI, which strips out the fluctuating food and energy sectors, posted a 0.3% increase for the month. Stocks, Bitcoin, and Gold Unmoved by CPI Data On…
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Equities kicked off Friday on a quiet note, with little movement as the latest U.S. labor market report unveiled a softer-than-anticipated addition of 142,000 jobs for August. The data only adds to growing recession concerns, layering on top of several earlier signs hinting at an economic slowdown. Meanwhile, the 10-2 year Treasury yield spread has…
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On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently at 5.25%-5.50%, which…
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The prediction market Polymarket and CME’s Fedwatch tool suggest that a rate cut during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September is highly likely. However, BCA Research’s chief asset allocation strategist, Garry Evans, argues that even if rates are lowered, it won’t stop a recession in the United States. On the flip side,…
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