Category: economists

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Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Risk to 25%

Global investment bank Goldman Sachs has increased the likelihood of a U.S. recession within the next year to 25% from the previous 15%, although they maintain that the risk remains limited. Despite the recent rise in unemployment to its highest in nearly three years and a significant slowdown in hiring, Goldman economists, led by Jan…
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Peter Schiff Explains Why Gold’s Price Is Rising — Warns Bitcoin Is a ‘Gigantic Bubble’

Economist and gold bug Peter Schiff has explained why the price of gold is rising, warning that bitcoin is a “gigantic bubble.” He expects gold to be in “double digits” by next year. Meanwhile, he said that bitcoin is in a bear market and the price of the cryptocurrency “is going much lower than this.”…
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Peter Schiff Downplays Importance of Bitcoin Halving — Discusses ‘What Matters Most’ for BTC Price

Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has downplayed the significance of the upcoming bitcoin halving, emphasizing a different factor that will drive the price of the cryptocurrency. He believes what matters the most is “how much of the current supply holders want to sell, not what miners create.” Peter Schiff on Bitcoin Halving Economist and…
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Financial Giant ING Expects Fed to Cut Rates From Second Quarter Onwards

Financial giant ING has predicted that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates in the second quarter of next year. “We are currently forecasting 150bp of rate cuts in 2024 with a further 100bp in early 2025,” ING’s chief international economist detailed, noting that U.S. economic data confirmed that there’s “no need for any…
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Economist Peter Schiff: US Dollar Near ‘Historic Crash’ — ‘Forget Soft Landing, It’s Crash and Burn’

Economist Peter Schiff has warned that the U.S. dollar is “on the verge of a historic crash.” He stressed that there won’t be a soft landing for the U.S. economy, predicting a “crash & burn” scenario. Schiff highlighted the potential for increased inflation, rising interest rates, and elevated unemployment. “The economy is weaker than the…
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Consensus Pause: Majority of Economists Predict No Rate Hikes for 2023, With Cuts Delayed Until March 2024

A newly published Reuters poll reveals that most economists concur: the U.S. Federal Reserve has likely capped its rate hikes. Yet, rate cuts aren’t anticipated until March 2024. This survey drops just as markets approach the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium scheduled for next week. All eyes are on Fed chairman Jerome Powell, as investors…
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US Inflation Climbs to 3.2% in July, Stoking Concerns and Dividing Market Opinions

The most recent data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics reveals a growingly intricate inflationary scenario for the U.S. economy. Disclosed on Thursday, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) exhibited a 3.2% annual increase in July, primarily propelled by housing expenses. This monthly surge aligns with June’s 0.2% escalation, where food costs…
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Wall Street Divided: Treasury Yields Surge Sparks Intense Debates and Divergent Bets

In recent weeks, Treasury yields have skyrocketed, igniting a Wall Street dispute over whether the precipitous sell-off is now overextended. A small group of prominent investors are wagering that bond prices will bounce back following the abrupt escalation in rates. Hedge Funds Place Bold Wagers Against Treasuries Amid Soaring Yields Analysts at Goldman Sachs and…
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Study: Generative AI Could Add Trillions to Global Economy

A new report by McKinsey & Company suggests generative artificial intelligence (AI) technologies could boost global economic output by trillions of dollars annually. The study, titled “The Economic Potential of Generative AI” and published June 14, 2023, analyzes the impact AI tools like Chatgpt could have across sectors. McKinsey & Company Study: ‘Generative AI Is…
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Federal Reserve Raises Federal Funds Rate by 25bps Amidst Moderate Economic Growth

In the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) report, it was stated that the U.S. economy has been experiencing moderate growth and members of the committee have decided to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) in order to keep a handle on inflation. Fed Raises Benchmark Bank Rate by 25bps The…
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