Category: economists

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End of Fed’s Tightening Cycle: Bernanke, Majority of Polled Economists See Terminal Rate Hike Ahead

With just a four-day window to go, the U.S. Federal Reserve appears primed to raise the federal funds rate by 25-basis-points (bps) at the forthcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for Wednesday. The market presently maintains the conviction that this quarter-point uptick is inevitable, and a group of 106 economists, according to a…
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Experts Warn of Impending Recession in the US as Survey Reveals 59% Chance by July 2024

A recently published survey by Bankrate reveals that there is a 3-in-5 likelihood of a recession occurring in the United States within the next year. Bankrate’s survey of economists firmly indicates that the chances of a recession taking place in the U.S. are greater than the chances of it not happening. Bankrate Survey: 3-in-5 Chance…
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US Inflation Cools to 4% Annual Rate, Setting Stage for Fed’s Decision on Interest Rates

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ consumer price index (CPI) report, released on Tuesday, reveals that inflation in the United States has eased to a yearly rate of 4%. The latest development arrives just ahead of the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for June 14. The prevailing market sentiment leans towards the…
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US Central Bank Expected to Raise Lending Rate by 25bps: Experts Predict Final Hike of 2023

After the most recent increase in the federal funds rate, the U.S. Federal Reserve is set to raise the lending rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 5.25% in three days, according to expectations. A recent poll of 105 economists revealed that 94 of them predict a 25bps rate hike will occur during the May…
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US Consumer Price Index Rises 0.1% in March, Annual Inflation up 5% From Last Year

On Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics published the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which noted that inflation rose 0.1% last month in March and 5% from a year ago. Annual inflation has dropped for nine consecutive months following the nine times the U.S. Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate. U.S. Inflation Cools…
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‘Not Related to a Digital Currency’ — US Central Bank Addresses Concerns Over Fednow Payment Network

The U.S. Central Bank has issued an update regarding the Federal Reserve’s Fednow project, which is scheduled to commence in July. The Fed has responded to recent criticism of the Fednow service and asserts that the Fednow payment network is “neither a form of currency nor a step toward eliminating any form of payment, including…
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White House Says Biden Has ‘Confidence’ in Fed Chair Powell While Fedwatch Tool Predicts a 25bps Hike This Week

With the Federal Open Market Committee convening on Wednesday and the recent financial troubles facing the U.S. banking system, White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said President Joe Biden has “confidence” in Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Meanwhile, according to the CME Group’s Fedwatch tool, the target rate probability suggests the Fed will raise the…
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Expert Warns of Possible Deflationary Depression as Money Supply Contracts: ‘Pay Attention to QT and the Money Supply’

During the Covid-19 pandemic, central banks such as the U.S. Federal Reserve loosened fiscal and monetary policy. Now, these same financial institutions are seemingly engaging in quantitative tightening (QT) practices. According to Nick Gerli, CEO and founder of Reventure Consulting, “the money supply is officially contracting.” This has only happened four times in the last…
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Most Retail Crypto Investors Lost Money Over the Last 7 Years, According to BIS Analysis

According to data from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), published in the latest BIS Bulletin No. 69, researchers assessed that, on average, most users lost money on their investments over the past seven years. Onchain data, metrics from exchanges, and cryptocurrency application download statistics gathered by BIS researchers suggest that most median retail crypto…
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Latest CPI Data Shows Red-Hot Inflation Continues to Thrive in the US, Consumer Prices Jumped 8.2% in September

The latest inflation data from the United States indicates that consumer prices have kept climbing despite expectations of a slowdown. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) summary published on Thursday shows an 8.2% rise in the year through September, and the core index rating saw the fastest yearly increase since 1982. September’s CPI Data Was Worse…
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