Category: Interest Rates

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CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver?

As the U.S. central bank members prepare for their meeting on Wednesday, just a day ago, the likelihood of a 25-basis point (bps) rate cut versus a 50bps cut was evenly split at 50-50. Fast forward to today, and the odds are now tipping in favor of a larger 50bps reduction. Predictions from betting market…
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Former Commerce Secretary Warns US Headed for Recession

Former Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross has warned of an impending U.S. recession due to the lingering effects of pandemic-related stimulus. While Wall Street maintains a more optimistic outlook, citing strong GDP and low unemployment, Ross argues that the economy was artificially inflated by the $5 trillion in stimulus. He points to inflation, high consumer prices,…
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Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability

With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch tool. Market…
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Bitcoin Price Could Face Challenges With 0.50% Fed Rate Cut, Warns 10X Research

A 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) starting this month might adversely affect Bitcoin (BTC) price, 10x Research cautions. 50 BPS Rate Cut Could Spook The Market After it had started hiking interest rates back in March 2022 to contain rampant inflation due to COVID-related supply chain bottlenecks…
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Recession Concerns Ignite Amid US Economic Slowdown and Market Volatility

In recent weeks, both economists and technical indicators have hinted that the U.S. may be on the brink of a recession, causing anxiety to ripple through the markets. Meanwhile, over on X, the topic of recession is gaining more traction by the day, with users discussing the likelihood of an economic downturn. Social Media Buzzes…
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Analysts Anticipate Bitcoin Falling to $40K Level as Fed Rate Cuts Loom

Bitfinex’s analysts expect bitcoin’s price to potentially drop to the low $50,000s or mid $40,000s if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates this month. The “historical price action for September also aligns with our view of a projected 20 percent drop in bitcoin prices following a rate cut,” the Bitfinex analysts said. Bitfinex Predicts Bitcoin…
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Markets Bet Big on a 25bps Fed Rate Cut—Low Odds for a Bigger Reduction

On Sept. 2, 2024, or roughly 16 days before the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, an overwhelming majority of the market seems to be predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Sept. 18. The U.S. federal funds rate is currently at 5.25%-5.50%, which…
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Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin Boom as Central Banks Cut Interest Rates

Bitmex co-founder Arthur Hayes is optimistic about bitcoin’s future, citing recent interest rate cuts by central banks. He believes further rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank could expand the money supply and drive inflation. Hayes argues that while inflation may negatively impact some businesses, it would benefit…
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Bitcoin Inflows Reach $543 Million as Powell Suggests Rate Cuts, Coinshares Reports

Coinshares, led by researcher James Butterfill, reports a significant uptick in bitcoin inflows following recent comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The investment surge reflects the market’s response to potential interest rate cuts hinted at during the Jackson Hole Symposium. Powell’s Comments Correlate With $543 Million Bitcoin Inflow, Coinshares Observes According to Coinshares, digital…
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Peter Schiff Warns of Looming US Dollar Crisis and Economic Collapse

Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has cautioned about the U.S. dollar index falling substantially, “triggering a U.S. dollar crisis, crashing the economy, and sending consumer prices and long-term interest rates soaring.” Schiff further warned of higher inflation and stagflation, impacting consumer prices and interest rates. He criticized the Federal Reserve’s current strategies, cautioning against…
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