Category: Interest Rates

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US Payrolls Revised Down by 818,000, Largest in 15 Years: QCP Capital Analyzes Impact on Markets

QCP Capital reports that the largest downward revision to U.S. payrolls in 15 years has raised concerns over the strength of the labor market. The report suggests that these revisions could influence the Federal Reserve’s decisions on interest rates. QCP Capital: U.S. Payroll Revision and Fed Policy Shift Market Dynamics QCP Capital‘s latest insights highlight…
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Peter Schiff Expects Gold Mining to Be Best-Performing Sector This Decade — Foresees ‘Major Bull Market’

Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff predicts that “precious metals mining will be the best-performing sector” this decade. He highlighted that “gold mining stocks are a steal” and anticipates “a major bull market.” Additionally, Schiff cautioned that the Federal Reserve risks making a policy mistake by cutting interest rates too soon. ‘The Stage Is Set…
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Goldman Sachs Lowers US Recession Risk to 20%

Goldman Sachs economists have lowered the likelihood of a U.S. recession within the next year from 25% to 20%, citing recent data on retail sales and jobless claims. If the upcoming August jobs report, scheduled for release on September 6, shows favorable results, the probability of a recession may be further reduced to 15%, which…
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UBS Urges Caution Despite Positive US Economic Data

UBS reported on Friday that U.S. stocks extended their rally as new economic data, including a 1% rise in July retail sales, eased concerns about a potential recession. Despite the encouraging consumer resilience, UBS cautioned that the risk of a significant economic slowdown remains, especially after weaker July jobs data. Investors are advised to wait…
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Peter Schiff Urges the Fed to Raise Rates and Let Markets Crash

Economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has recommended that the Federal Reserve raise interest rates instead of cutting them, even if it leads to a market crash. He acknowledged that this approach would likely cause stocks and real estate to crash, result in a hard landing, and trigger a recession, emphasizing the potential severity of…
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Fedwatch Tool and Polymarket Point to Highly Probable Rate Cuts by the Fed

Following the recent volatility in global equity markets, some analysts suggest that the U.S. Federal Reserve might implement an emergency rate cut before September. In addition, market predictions are leaning toward a rate cut at the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The key question is the extent of this cut. According to CME’s…
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Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Risk to 25%

Global investment bank Goldman Sachs has increased the likelihood of a U.S. recession within the next year to 25% from the previous 15%, although they maintain that the risk remains limited. Despite the recent rise in unemployment to its highest in nearly three years and a significant slowdown in hiring, Goldman economists, led by Jan…
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6 Indicators of Economic Trouble: Is a US Recession on the Horizon?

At the end of the week, U.S. equities experienced a sharp decline, which reverberated through the cryptocurrency market, reducing its value from $2.4 trillion to $2.09 trillion since July 29. Recently, discussions have intensified around the likelihood of an impending U.S. recession, with a soft landing seemingly off the table. Below are six distinct indicators…
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Bitcoin and Crypto to Gain as Falling Rates Expand Global Liquidity, Says 21shares VP

The head of strategy at crypto investment firm 21shares has explained that the broad-based bitcoin selloff following the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged was partly due to increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and fears of conflict escalation, leading to a temporary flight to safety. He also noted that anticipated interest…
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No Rate Cuts Yet: Fed Maintains Rates at Historic Highs 

The U.S. Federal Reserve has opted to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 5.25-5.5%, according to the latest report from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The committee noted that while inflation has eased over the past year, it remains somewhat elevated, with the overarching goal being to bring inflation down to the…
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