Category: Skew

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Bitcoin traders were ready for a hot CPI report, but BTC bears are still in control

BTC nose-dived to its lowest level since Sept. 21, and data shows pro traders continue to avoid leverage longs. Cryptocurrency traders were caught by surprise after the Oct. 13 Consumer Price Index Report showed inflation in the United States rising by 0.6% in September versus the previous month. The slightly higher-than-expected number caused Bitcoin (BTC)…
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Ethereum open interest hits $7.7B, raising the chance of a short squeeze above $1.5K

The Ether futures premium remains negative, while options markets are pricing similar risks for bulls and bears. Traders’ sentiment about Ether (ETH) has noticeably improved as the price rallied 7.5% from Oct. 2 to 6, but the price recapturing the $1,350 level was not compelling enough to trigger any bullish activity from derivatives traders. Ether…
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Bitcoin derivatives data reflects traders’ belief that $20K will become support

Declining interest in margin shorts and a balanced risk perception in options markets highlight a possible path to $21,500 for BTC price. Bitcoin (BTC) showed strength on Oct. 4 and 5, posting a 5% gain on Oct. 5 and breaking through the $20,000 resistance. The move liquidated $75 million worth of leverage short (bear) positions…
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Long the Bitcoin bottom, or watch and wait? Bitcoin traders plan their next move

Bitcoin price dropped to $18,270, but derivatives traders didn’t flinch. Here is why. Bitcoin (BTC) faced a 9% correction in the early hours of Sept. 19 as the price traded down to $18,270. Even though the price quickly bounced back above $19,000, this level was the lowest price seen in three months. However, pro traders…
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Bitcoin price falls under $19K as data shows pro traders avoiding leverage longs

BTC nose-dived to its lowest level since July 13, but data shows pro traders remain skeptical of a quick recovery. An $860 surprise price correction on Sept. 6 took Bitcoin (BTC) from $19,820 to $18,960 in less than two hours. The movement caused $74 million in Bitcoin futures liquidations at derivatives exchanges, the largest in…
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Hawkish Fed comments and Bitcoin derivatives data point to further BTC downside

BTC and stocks sold-off after comments from the Federal Reserve re-emphasized the Fed’s commitment to lowering high inflation in the United States. A $750 pump on Aug. 26 took Bitcoin (BTC) from $21,120 to $21,870 in less than two hours. However, the movement was completely erased after comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell…
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3 key Ether derivatives metrics suggest $1,600 ETH support lacks strength

Data shows Ether options traders are less bearish than before, but lower gas fees and smart contract deposits give ETH bulls little hope. Ether (ETH) price is up 60% since May 3, outperforming leading cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC) by 32% over that span. However, evidence suggests the current $1,600 support lacks strength as network use and…
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Bitcoin derivatives show a lack of confidence from bulls

High correlation to stock markets and recession risks limit optimism on the part of BTC investors. Bitcoin (BTC) has been trending up since mid-July, although the current ascending channel formation holds $21,100 support. This pattern has been holding for 45 days and could potentially drive BTC towards $26,000 by late August. Bitcoin/USD 12-hour price. Source:…
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2 key Ethereum derivatives metrics suggest that $880 was ETH’s bottom

Data shows Ethereum options traders are less bearish that before, and margin-based markets recently saw some investors go ultra-long on 491,000 ETH. Ether (ETH) price is up 16% since July 1 and has outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) in the last 7 days. The move could be partially driven by investors clinging to their hopes that the…
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Bitcoin futures enter backwardation for the first time in a year

Risk-averse BTC derivatives traders throw in the towel after futures contracts trade below the spot market price. Bitcoin’s (BTC) month-to-date chart is very bearish, and the sub-$18,000 level seen over the weekend was the lowest price seen since December 2020. Bulls’ current hope depends on turning $20,000 to support, but derivatives metrics tell a completely…
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